Author Topic: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.  (Read 4663 times)

Offline Belker

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Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« on: September 03, 2023, 10:41:45 pm »
Boylesports offer a very decent Each-way offer on the Rugby World cup top Try scorer market.
1/5 odds 8 Places.  Their nearest bookie competitor only offers 6 Places.

I got a Tip from me small fella (who plays rugby) that the style of world cup play would suit Ireland's James Lowe.

James Lowe is currently 14/1 with Boyles.
Fer a Pony Each-way (which I had) if he is in the Top 8 would return €95 and if he wins it would return €470.

See full market here;
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup/top-tryscorer

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2023, 11:18:06 pm »
On looking at the Betfair exchange market, also hard to see past Will Jordan (NZ) @ Boyles 13/2 or Damian Pernaud (FR) @ 13/2 to be out of the Top 8 try scorers ??
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/rugby-union/market/1.217251309

Offline John m

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2023, 11:59:48 am »
The thing with that market is some lad could have a beano run in 10 trys agenst one of the Minoes ..Wouldnt have stolen money on any Irish player .We have to meet NZ or France in the second round so most likely we will be quarter finalists which is where we usually go out .But we could possibly knock out France or NZ .Any stroke bets are in the other half of the draw .Big price about an Argie or a Welsh lad might be the bet .They look better bets to progress than NZ or Ireland .Really lop sided draw .Top four teams in the same half
"Ahfuck

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2023, 05:26:41 am »
I was contemplating a Deuce EW on each of Will Jordan (NZ) @ Boyles 13/2 and Damian Pernaud (FR) also @ 13/2, and a Ton EW on James Lowe @ 14/1.

At 8 places if even 2 of them get a place then it's a small loss, all 3 placed fer a small win and if I can get the winner and a place or two then I'm quids in !

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2023, 05:40:51 am »
Unfortunately my record on posting big bets on here is abysmal, to include Donald Trump @ 1/2, the Brazil Bobo bet (I'm still not over that !) and then the Yankee girls @ 1/4, and the Icing on the Cake was my most embarrasing loss to Octy in the Crypto challenge when I should have easily won that against a grossly inferior contestant.

Most likely I won't have my Grand bet on the rugby because of the above, also too lazy fer the shoe-leather required, but there is great value in the 8 places with Boyles.

Offline John m

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2023, 08:40:47 am »
I was contemplating a Deuce EW on each of Will Jordan (NZ) @ Boyles 13/2 and Damian Pernaud (FR) also @ 13/2, and a Ton EW on James Lowe @ 14/1.

At 8 places if even 2 of them get a place then it's a small loss, all 3 placed fer a small win and if I can get the winner and a place or two then I'm quids in !

Opening Game France NZ .Would not expect to many tries in that one .Winner is guarenteed entry into the next round so might not play their best Backs until they meet  Ireland or South Africa in the next round and that should be a low try scoring match .So based on the Fact that the First match sets up the Group and possibly picks the next team and player rotation its a month long tournament .I cannot see value in either France or NZ playerto get the golden boot not value @six and a half .
"Ahfuck

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2023, 08:25:28 am »
Boylesports offer a very decent Each-way offer on the Rugby World cup top Try scorer market.
1/5 odds 8 Places.  Their nearest bookie competitor only offers 6 Places.

I got a Tip from me small fella (who plays rugby) that the style of world cup play would suit Ireland's James Lowe.

James Lowe is currently 14/1 with Boyles.
Fer a Pony Each-way (which I had) if he is in the Top 8 would return €95 and if he wins it would return €470.

See full market here;
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup/top-tryscorer

FFS !

Ireland scored 12 tries and James Lowe didn't get a hand down on even one of them !   ::fds

Offline Cool Boola

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2023, 11:00:43 am »
Would not say Lowe is not 14/1 anymore.  All random  ::[color]stuff[/size][/color]
Dis an Dat Im not a rat

Offline John m

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2023, 11:30:38 am »
Boylesports offer a very decent Each-way offer on the Rugby World cup top Try scorer market.
1/5 odds 8 Places.  Their nearest bookie competitor only offers 6 Places.

I got a Tip from me small fella (who plays rugby) that the style of world cup play would suit Ireland's James Lowe.

James Lowe is currently 14/1 with Boyles.
Fer a Pony Each-way (which I had) if he is in the Top 8 would return €95 and if he wins it would return €470.

See full market here;
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup/top-tryscorer

FFS !

Ireland scored 12 tries and James Lowe didn't get a hand down on even one of them !   ::fds

Wrong half of the Draw Ken .Lads will be rested .Yesterdays game was little more than a practice session .
"Ahfuck

Offline John m

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2023, 03:15:51 pm »
"Ahfuck

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2023, 10:47:01 am »
I was contemplating a Deuce EW on each of Will Jordan (NZ) @ Boyles 13/2 and Damian Pernaud (FR) also @ 13/2, and a Ton EW on James Lowe @ 14/1.

At 8 places if even 2 of them get a place then it's a small loss, all 3 placed fer a small win and if I can get the winner and a place or two then I'm quids in !

.... .I cannot see value in either France or NZ playerto get the golden boot not value @six and a half .
Read the Stats John m !
https://www.rugbyworldcup.com/2023/stats/players?metric=tries

Offline silverbullet

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2023, 08:03:00 pm »
I was contemplating a Deuce EW on each of Will Jordan (NZ) @ Boyles 13/2 and Damian Pernaud (FR) also @ 13/2, and a Ton EW on James Lowe @ 14/1.

At 8 places if even 2 of them get a place then it's a small loss, all 3 placed fer a small win and if I can get the winner and a place or two then I'm quids in !

.... .I cannot see value in either France or NZ playerto get the golden boot not value @six and a half .
Read the Stats John m !
https://www.rugbyworldcup.com/2023/stats/players?metric=tries

Will Jordan scored three of New Zealand's seven tries, taking his individual tally to eight across the World Cup, but he was denied the chance to match the great Jonah Lomu


BySamuel MeadeSports Brand Writer
22:46, 20 Oct 2023
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Will Jordan scored a World Cup semi-final hat-trick for New Zealand to leave him with eight tries - equalling a tournament record.

The Crusaders winger scored in last weekend's quarter-final win over Ireland and also notched four in the pool stages, meaning his haul has matched the highest in World Cup history. The likes of Bryan Habana, Julian Savea and Jonah Lomu all crossed eight times in previous tournaments.


Jordan's treble against Argentina capped a sensational performance that saw All Blacks ease to a 44-6 win. The 25-year-old has a sensational strike rate in the black jersey, but may be left cursing team-mate Richie Mo'unga.


England's Rugby World Cup semi-final to be played in front of thousands of empty seats

New Zealand storm into Rugby World Cup final after dominant win over Argentina
The fly-half, who will be ineligible for selection after the World Cup due to his decision to play in Japan, opted not to pass to Jordan late in the game when his winger had the line at his mercy. He had a simple two-on-one but chose not to throw the pass and went himself, before being stopped close to the line.



It would've been a walk-in for Jordan to score his fourth try and only three men have ever scored hat-tricks in a semi-final - Lomu in 1995 and Adam Ashley-Cooper for Australia in 2015. Lomu however famously scored four as the All Blacks hammered England in Cape Town.

Jordan could've matched the New Zealand icon, but instead was left on three. Mo'unga immediately clocked his error and when the game came to a stop was seen holding his hand up in apology.


All Blacks boss Ian Foster joked that his fly-half didn't throw the pass in order to keep Jordan primed for the final in eight days time. "I don't know anything about that, but maybe Richie wanted to keep him hungry for next week," he joked.

Jordie Barrett, who also crossed for a try, was part of the group that suffered semi-final heartbreak four years ago but was thrilled to have gone one better as they look to emulate the group of 2015, some of whom are still present in the current squad.


He told ITV: "It's so sweet. It's new territory for this group. We slipped at the semi-final hurdle four years ago. I am just so proud of this group. It's not done yet. We will have a very tough match regardless of who we have next week. It's another week, which we are so grateful for."

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2023, 04:09:19 pm »
He is home and hosed .South Africa are not big Try scorers .If you went into a bookie he would want you to bet your house to win a Penny Jordan does not win it .It was a value bet with 8 places a bet to nothing .A shrewdies wager . .....

I did go Large on this market in the end, I only fell in to it by chance when me small fella told me about James Lowe @14/1 and I did a birra research fer him. The value at 8 places was overwhelming and I couldn't help myself but to avail of their generosity on what seemed 'No-Lose' bets. It did take a birra shoe-leather (by me small fella) to get all the shop bets on in dribs and drabs.

In total I invested €1535, (barring an Act of God) the returns will be €3508 showing a €1973 profit, which will be split evenly with me small fella as it was he who put me on to it, and also did the vast majority of the leg-work required.
The icing on the cake was €280EW on Will Jordan mostly @7/1.

Offline Belker

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2023, 04:18:34 pm »
My bets so far on the RWC Top Try-scorer.

All bets were done in-shop, the EW bets are all at 1/5 odds 8 places.
(Photo Time-stampted evidence of the bets will be provided on here after they are cashed in.)

€280 EW Damien Penaud (6 Tries) (FR) all @ 13/2.

€280 EW Will Jordan (8 Tries) (NZ), which includes €200 EW @ 7/1, and €80 EW @ 13/2.

Five saving (Hedge) bets so far; 
€25 Win on Henry Arundell (5) (Eng) @ 33/1.
€5 Win on Mark Telea (3) (NZ) @ 100/1.
€25 Win on Cobus Reinach (4) (SA) @ 25/1.
€20 Win on Leicester Fainga'anuku (5) (NZ) @ 33/1
€10 Ardie Savea (3) (NZ) @ 66/1.
I'm contemplating another small 'Saver' on Damian McKenzie (5) (NZ) if he is in the starting 15 on Sat.

I also had €165 EW on James Lowe (Irl) which is a Loser, he only got 2 tries.

Total stake layout so far €1535.
Returns looking at €3508 to show a €1973 profit.

Here are the Top Try-Scorer Stats so far;
https://www.rugbyworldcup.com/2023/stats/players?metric=tries

Offline Rat Catcher

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Re: Rugby World cup 'Top Try scorer' bet.
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2023, 11:34:44 am »
Nice one, Ken.

What you backed and why is way beyond my somewhat limited knowledge of rugby. As far as county Dublin is concerned it's largely a southside sport oft played by closet poofs. I did watch the 1/4 final loss while on staycation in Wexford (having listened to "our" previous contests on the wireless while driving my cab) and, to be fair, it was a disappointing result. I guess it's little consolation but no coincidence that the teams contesting the final are a team "we" beat and the team that beat "us".
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