Irish Presidential Bet

[Rat Catcher]

I reckon he does, Ken... mainly down to how he loves mentioning his position on the President's Advisory Council or whatever it's official title is.

Could be a precondition of a Shin F / F Fail coalition.

Did you take a bit of the 16/1 with Ladbokes ?

The Magic Sign closed my account years ago, Ken. Can't be arsed wearing out shoe leather.

[Belker]

I reckon he does, Ken... mainly down to how he loves mentioning his position on the President's Advisory Council or whatever it's official title is.

Could be a precondition of a Shin F / F Fail coalition.

Did you take a bit of the 16/1 with Ladbokes ?

The Magic Sign closed my account years ago, Ken. Can't be arsed wearing out shoe leather.

Hardly a big ask to go in to One bookies in the next few weeks to place One single wager ??

Personally I don't think he will run in 2025, BUT if he does run then he will be odds-on.
In my opinion he is probably a realistic 7/1 or 8/1 chance which makes Law-breakers 16/1 offer worth a small few quid.

[Belker]

I'll have a fiver on Norris in Ladblokes!

Only 66/1 with Ladbrokes, 100/1 with Boyles.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/irish-politics/irish-presidential-election/winner

[John m]

I reckon he does, Ken... mainly down to how he loves mentioning his position on the President's Advisory Council or whatever it's official title is.

Could be a precondition of a Shin F / F Fail coalition.

Did you take a bit of the 16/1 with Ladbokes ?

Ken I met him and asked him .I didnt say I was going to have a bet on him as he would not tell you if he was running incase you blabbed to  the Press .So I said" Jasus Berty you like a bet .I was thinking of having a bet on the next President .Do you think I would be wasting my money ?He didnt answer the question and in Berty Speak that wasent a No ..I already explained FG cannot win it SF cannot win it .So who else is there ?

The Magic Sign closed my account years ago, Ken. Can't be arsed wearing out shoe leather.

Hardly a big ask to go in to One bookies in the next few weeks to place One single wager ??

Personally I don't think he will run in 2025, BUT if he does run then he will be odds-on.
In my opinion he is probably a realistic 7/1 or 8/1 chance which makes Law-breakers 16/1 offer worth a small few quid.

[Rat Catcher]

Not a lot of Ladbrokes shops left, Ken. A few years back I got a (losing) tip for BBC Sportsman of the year. To get a score on at 50/1 Mrs Catcher had to visit 3 of their branches, all now closed. I kid you not they told her the maximum they could take from a single client was €6.xx the xx being a seemingly random odd number (presumably an exact conversion from a round sum in the late Queen's shilling) and suggested she either visit different shops or enlist more personnel!

P.S. Why hasn't the Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham been renamed the Queen Consort Grandmother-in-law Champion Chase or some such?

[Belker]

..... P.S. Why hasn't the Queen Mother Champion Chase at Cheltenham been renamed the Queen Consort Grandmother-in-law Champion Chase or some such?

They could rename it to the Kings Grandmother chase but hardly worth the effort as the FA cup is on the home straight ! 

[Belker]

Not a lot of Ladbrokes shops left, Ken. A few years back I got a (losing) tip for BBC Sportsman of the year. To get a score on at 50/1 Mrs Catcher had to visit 3 of their branches, all now closed. I kid you not they told her the maximum they could take from a single client was €6.xx the xx being a seemingly random odd number (presumably an exact conversion from a round sum in the late Queen's shilling) and suggested she either visit different shops or enlist more personnel! .....

That would seem like the most they were willing to lose on the selection to a customer was a Trummer on a novelty market, remember that figure when placing novelty bets again.

€18 on Berty @ 16/1 to win €288 should be under the radar.

[John m]

Bertie Ahern @12/1 with Paddy Power to be next President .Explained ?to be president you must get 50% plus 1 vote of all votes cast .SF could get 30% but where can they get the other 20% not from FG who hate them not from the Left as they will already have that vote in their 30% so in reality SF Cannot win .

FG worse problem than SF as they will only get about 20% of the Vote SF voters will not transfer to them plus Mc Guinness is the preferred FG candidate at the Moment .If Leo is gone and I think he will be fucked out after the local elections and Harris id the Leader then Francis Fitzgerald could be the FG candidate both unelectable cannot get to 50% .

Labour votes will be gobbled up by SF so they cannot realistically expect to get a President elected .

It is unlikely that any Independent will get enough County Councils to give them the Nomination .

So Bertie .FF have nobody else who can appeal to the whole country Probably Barry Andrews but nobody else .FF will get about 20% of the vote .SF would transfer to Gerry Adams old mate Bertie Aherne Adams will sort of tell them Bertie can be trusted .FG will also transfer to Berty to stop SF getting the Gig .Could also be other election issues at play .If SF support Bertie it might encourage FF to go into Coalition with them after the General election as a united group of Republican Parties .If Bertie gets the FF Nomination he will be favourite about 5/4 to get the gig .

Bertie @ 12/1 will be my next long term bet .

DONT SAY I DIDNT MARK YOUR CARD >HE IS NOW FAVOURITE TO WIN IT WITH BOYLESPORTS .

[Belker]

5/1 joint favourite, still 12/1 with PP.

But definately a good sign to see him shortening.

[John m]

5/1 joint favourite, still 12/1 with PP.

But definately a good sign to see him shortening.

I has £50 on with 365 they cut him to 8s .Got a few 40 euro bets on @12/1 with paddy .Even placed a wager for my Dinner Host today .Two grump old men watching election results and feeding the Cat .

[Rat Catcher]

Go on the Bertie!

[Belker]

Best of luck with it John M, as I stated before if he shortens in price that means that someone somewhere has heard a whisper that he will run which may or may not be true, but defo a good sign sign to see him shortening in price.

I still think that he will not run but hopefully I'm wrong about that, if he does run then he will be the odds-on fav.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/irish-politics/next-president

[John m]

Best of luck with it John M, as I stated before if he shortens in price that means that someone somewhere has heard a whisper that he will run which may or may not be true, but defo a good sign sign to see him shortening in price.

I still think that he will not run but hopefully I'm wrong about that, if he does run then he will be the odds-on fav.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/irish-politics/next-president

Ken I explained in the opening tread why he will .I asked him but you dont ask he wouldnt answer so you ask by not asking ."Here Berty if I had a spare 50 to bet on the Presidential election would I be wasting it ?" Ah shure go ahead .That is Jackeen speak from a Jackeen to be interpreted by a Jackeen .If he gets the FF Nom he will be 4/9 to win it .Probably uncontested .

I also spoke with Senator Mc Dowell asked him was he interested he smiled wasent a no fuck never ?Its a cushy number 14 year job as we never contest a sitting President .

On the Berty thing he backed a candidate in Dublin who topped the Pole Charlies Grandson .Berty still has a lot of friends with influence in FF .

[Rat Catcher]

The Ming Flanagan has expressed an interest, "depending on the competition" @ 33/1.

No betting on Betfair.

[John m]

Bertie Ahern @12/1 with Paddy Power to be next President .Explained ?to be president you must get 50% plus 1 vote of all votes cast .SF could get 30% but where can they get the other 20% not from FG who hate them not from the Left as they will already have that vote in their 30% so in reality SF Cannot win .

FG worse problem than SF as they will only get about 20% of the Vote SF voters will not transfer to them plus Mc Guinness is the preferred FG candidate at the Moment .If Leo is gone and I think he will be fucked out after the local elections and Harris id the Leader then Francis Fitzgerald could be the FG candidate both unelectable cannot get to 50% .

Labour votes will be gobbled up by SF so they cannot realistically expect to get a President elected .

It is unlikely that any Independent will get enough County Councils to give them the Nomination .

So Bertie .FF have nobody else who can appeal to the whole country Probably Barry Andrews but nobody else .FF will get about 20% of the vote .SF would transfer to Gerry Adams old mate Bertie Aherne Adams will sort of tell them Bertie can be trusted .FG will also transfer to Berty to stop SF getting the Gig .Could also be other election issues at play .If SF support Bertie it might encourage FF to go into Coalition with them after the General election as a united group of Republican Parties .If Bertie gets the FF Nomination he will be favourite about 5/4 to get the gig .

Bertie @ 12/1 will be my next long term bet .

UNDER STARTERS ORDERS .....Former taoiseach Bertie Ahern has said if he enters the next presidential race he will be “running to win”, although he added that he has neither ruled a bid for the Áras in or out.