Irish Presidential Bet

[Belker]

McGuinness now the Even money favourite Fav, Berty out to 16/1 with Lawbreakers !
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/irish-politics/next-president

[watty]

Deirdre who?

Ulster University professor Deirdre Heenan ‘in final stages of talks’ to be Fianna Fáil presidential candidate

Ulster University professor Deirdre Heenan is being tipped as Fianna Fáil’s candidate for the presidential election.  She is said to be in the final stages of negotiations to contest the autumn poll.  Prof Heenan said she could “neither confirm nor deny” that she had been approached by the party.

However, sources say the former provost and dean of academic development at the Magee campus is leading the race as the preferred candidate of Taoiseach Micheál Martin.  Fianna Fáil is keen to replicate the success of Belfast lawyer and academic Mary McAleese, who was president from 1997 to 2011.  Michael D Higgins’ term ends in October and he is not eligible to stand again.

Prof Heenan is a former member of President Higgins’ council of state (An Chomhairle Stáit), an advisory body primarily consulted on matters related to the President’s discretionary powers.  From Annaclone, Co Down, she was educated at Banbridge Academy and Ulster University. She lives in Derry with her husband and three sons.

It is 28 years since Fianna Fáil contested a presidential election, with Mrs McAleese in 1997.  She is the only president to have come from Northern Ireland.  Up until 1990, every president had been a Fianna Fáil nominee: Douglas Hyde, Sean T O’Kelly, Eamon de Valera, Erskine Childers, Cearbhall Ó Dálaigh and Patrick Hillery.

Her opponents will be happy to ask if she's a worthy replacement for that other white, female, N.I. academic or is she an inferior 'McAleese' clone.

[John m]

Betfair not laying Irish President betting today .Boylesports 5/! Berty .I went into Powers to try get the 14/1 Berty they will take a 5er .

[Belker]

Betfair not laying Irish President betting today .Boylesports 5/! Berty .I went into Powers to try get the 14/1 Berty they will take a 5er .

Defo a good sign fer you to see Berty shortning in price.

Did you take any of Lawbreakers 16/1 that was available fer the last 2 weeks ?

Or did you just chance Powers fer de snakey score at 14/1 AFTER seeing Boyles shorten him to 6/1 ?

Most likely you can still get at few quid on with Lad and PP if you wear out a birra shoe leather.

[John m]

Im on Ken for as much as I wanted ..I see the market settling if the four are Berty .Mary Lou .Connolly and Mcguinness .Something like 2/1 Berty 9/4 Connolly 5/2 the other two .Berty and Connolly the most reansfer friendly .Lefties wont want FG to win it FG wont want Shinners to win it .So Berty or Connolly should get the transfers .Connolly question is can she avoid finishing last in first preferences ?

[Belker]

Im on Ken for as much as I wanted ..I see the market settling if the four are Berty .Mary Lou .Connolly and Mcguinness .Something like 2/1 Berty 9/4 Connolly 5/2 the other two .Berty and Connolly the most reansfer friendly .Lefties wont want FG to win it FG wont want Shinners to win it .So Berty or Connolly should get the transfers .Connolly question is can she avoid finishing last in first preferences ?

What was the average price you got on at ?

[John m]

about 14.5 .give or take .If I was certain berty will get the nod .I would lay mc Guinness at anything under 2/1 .Think she is a false favourite just because she was more or less certain to get the nomination .The Berty Question is will anybody care about his past .Look at Trump ,Farage ,Celebrity no matter how shaded seems to be popular with voters .Also think the EU look weak against Trump so anty EU sentiment wont favour Mc Guinness .BUT will Berty get the Nomonation ?

[Belker]

about 14.5 .give or take .If I was certain berty will get the nod .I would lay mc Guinness at anything under 2/1 .Think she is a false favourite just because she was more or less certain to get the nomination .The Berty Question is will anybody care about his past .Look at Trump ,Farage ,Celebrity no matter how shaded seems to be popular with voters .Also think the EU look weak against Trump so anty EU sentiment wont favour Mc Guinness .BUT will Berty get the Nomonation ?

I think the bigger problem is, does He want the nomination ?

[John m]

Thats another issue Ken .If he thinks he can win it he will want it .Gaff for 14 years and 230000 a year plus graft .He be Perfect he wouldnt be calling out other governments or running his own agenda .Might be important with the World the way it is .We dont need to be annoying Anybody .Think Connolly would use the Office for her own agenda same with SF .Thats why I think in the End FF will nominate him .A safe pair of hands in Stormy times .Boylesports now 5/1

[markmiwurdz]

A lay off (if you're well up) might be a consideration?

[Belker]

@  John m; If he gets and accepts the FF nomination and goes 2/1 fav fer the contest, will you hedge or partially hedge or stick it out ?

[John m]

@  John m; If he gets and accepts the FF nomination and goes 2/1 fav fer the contest, will you hedge or partially hedge or stick it out ?

I will stick Ken .I played Berty ,Connolly and Mary lou on Bet 365 and I was offered a Cash out in all cases for small money and took it .I have a few ton on Berty stands me about 160 notes and a Paid for book keeping services with a Berty Wager last year .My total outlay is not much .I might lay off after the First Count .That reminds me I must apply for work at the count .23 euro per hour first 8 double time after that double time on day two .

[Belker]

@  John m; If he gets and accepts the FF nomination and goes 2/1 fav fer the contest, will you hedge or partially hedge or stick it out ?

I will stick Ken .I played Berty ,Connolly and Mary lou on Bet 365 and I was offered a Cash out in all cases for small money and took it .I have a few ton on Berty stands me about 160 notes and a Paid for book keeping services with a Berty Wager last year .My total outlay is not much .I might lay off after the First Count .That reminds me I must apply for work at the count .23 euro per hour first 8 double time after that double time on day two .

Could you explain that a tad better ?
In Line 1 you say Stick, in Line 3 you say Might lay off ??
And I don't understand much of the rest of it.

[John m]

I had a few quid on Collins @14s with Bet 365 when she was declared a possible runner they offered a cash out @about 4/7 to my stake .I dont really fancy her so I took the few quid .I did same with Mary lou and Berty ..My real berty Bet is with Powers .I could of waited and tried to lay off  Collins or MaryLou but they were not certain runners with Betfair later but some times there is no equity and I dont really have the cash to lodge with Betfair to cover the Bet.
I picked up a few bits of loose change from 365

If Bertie dosent run I have no idea who wins it .Will SF try to Dump Mary Lou as leader by running her ?I dont think Mc Guinness can win even if it was a walkover .

Meself and the Rodent are holding Dockets on Berty

[Belker]

I had a few quid on Collins @14s with Bet 365 when she was declared a possible runner they offered a cash out @about 4/7 to my stake .I dont really fancy her so I took the few quid .I did same with Mary lou and Berty ..My real berty Bet is with Powers .I could of waited and tried to lay off  Collins or MaryLou but they were not certain runners with Betfair later but some times there is no equity and I dont really have the cash to lodge with Betfair to cover the Bet.
I picked up a few bits of loose change from 365

If Bertie dosent run I have no idea who wins it .Will SF try to Dump Mary Lou as leader by running her ?I dont think Mc Guinness can win even if it was a walkover .

Meself and the Rodent are holding Dockets on Berty

That didn't help much but I'm kinda getting the Jist of it.

Your reply is a bit like a Knacker in the cab telling you where to go !