Irish Presidential Bet

[silverbullet]

VOTE FOR BENT.IE AHERN

[/size]

[John m]

He is letting FF members know he is looking for the gig .Mick from Cork also wants it .No Dub would give a twentieth prefrence to Mick Martin he is personality less .Shinner voters would never give him a preference .Bertie is the only one can win it for FF.

[Belker]

He is letting FF members know he is looking for the gig .Mick from Cork also wants it .No Dub would give a twentieth prefrence to Mick Martin he is personality less .Shinner voters would never give him a preference .Bertie is the only one can win it for FF.

You really need to put those Rose tinted glasses in the bin John m !

[John m]

Seriously Mick From Cork wouldnt win a game of Bingo in Dublin .Berty runs he wins .FF choose Martin then Mc Guinness or Independent wins .Hope Cork win on Sunday

[Rat Catcher]

Meehaul... for President?

The same Mehaul who took our 350 notes off us as soon as he was appointed Teashock... The same Mehaul who brought diesel prices to €2.00/litre up above in Dublin?

No chance!

[watty]

Meehaul is in Africa today as it happens.  He hinted the Govt were gonna relax the inheritance tax rule in the next budget, nudge nudge, wink wink, which should help with those voters who work for a living.  In the same story, "The Journal" reports that SF want to increase it by 3%.

[John m]

Bertie Ahern @12/1 with Paddy Power to be next President .Explained ?to be president you must get 50% plus 1 vote of all votes cast .SF could get 30% but where can they get the other 20% not from FG who hate them not from the Left as they will already have that vote in their 30% so in reality SF Cannot win .

FG worse problem than SF as they will only get about 20% of the Vote SF voters will not transfer to them plus Mc Guinness is the preferred FG candidate at the Moment .If Leo is gone and I think he will be fucked out after the local elections and Harris id the Leader then Francis Fitzgerald could be the FG candidate both unelectable cannot get to 50% .

Labour votes will be gobbled up by SF so they cannot realistically expect to get a President elected .

It is unlikely that any Independent will get enough County Councils to give them the Nomination .

So Bertie .FF have nobody else who can appeal to the whole country Probably Barry Andrews but nobody else .FF will get about 20% of the vote .SF would transfer to Gerry Adams old mate Bertie Aherne Adams will sort of tell them Bertie can be trusted .FG will also transfer to Berty to stop SF getting the Gig .Could also be other election issues at play .If SF support Bertie it might encourage FF to go into Coalition with them after the General election as a united group of Republican Parties .If Bertie gets the FF Nomination he will be favourite about 5/4 to get the gig .

Bertie @ 12/1 will be my next long term bet .

Looking at this Bet again .Maraid Mc Guinness is 8/11 Favourite HOW THE FUCK can she get to 50% not a chance .Lefties Sf /Labour Ranting and Raving Party cannot get there Its a Two horse race Between Berty or Cathrine Connolly if she can get a Nomonation .I think it will be a Four Horse Race .Mc Guinness ,Fg.Berty FF ,Who knows SF .with Cathrine Connolly or Fracis Black the X Alcoholic Cabaret Singer . If I was making a market based on these 4 .6/5 Berty 5/4 Connolly 7/2 Mc Guinness 5/1 Sf candidate .Berty still available @ 12/1 .

[vandriver]

I saw Bertie walking up through Drumcondra the other day.Looks about 90.I think his time has passed.

[John m]

I saw Bertie walking up through Drumcondra the other day.Looks about 90.I think his time has passed.

In a World of Dodgey Cunts like The Orange Idiot .Farage ,The New lad in Poland .Rattlecan Zalessney .We need a clever mouth to play the Game .......Whos Cleverer ?

[silverbullet]

I saw Bertie walking up through Drumcondra the other day.Looks about 90.I think his time has passed.

In a World of Dodgey Cunts like The Orange Idiot .Farage ,The New lad in Poland .Rattlecan Zalessney .We need a clever mouth to play the Game .......Whos Cleverer ?

It's ceremonial role. If elected it says we openly endorse corrupt individuals. Tipperary folk voted Lowry in again and again in an "Anti Dublin"  manoeuvre.

[Belker]

Bertie Ahern @12/1 with Paddy Power to be next President .Explained ?to be president you must get 50% plus 1 vote of all votes cast .SF could get 30% but where can they get the other 20% not from FG who hate them not from the Left as they will already have that vote in their 30% so in reality SF Cannot win .

FG worse problem than SF as they will only get about 20% of the Vote SF voters will not transfer to them plus Mc Guinness is the preferred FG candidate at the Moment .If Leo is gone and I think he will be fucked out after the local elections and Harris id the Leader then Francis Fitzgerald could be the FG candidate both unelectable cannot get to 50% .

Labour votes will be gobbled up by SF so they cannot realistically expect to get a President elected .

It is unlikely that any Independent will get enough County Councils to give them the Nomination .

So Bertie .FF have nobody else who can appeal to the whole country Probably Barry Andrews but nobody else .FF will get about 20% of the vote .SF would transfer to Gerry Adams old mate Bertie Aherne Adams will sort of tell them Bertie can be trusted .FG will also transfer to Berty to stop SF getting the Gig .Could also be other election issues at play .If SF support Bertie it might encourage FF to go into Coalition with them after the General election as a united group of Republican Parties .If Bertie gets the FF Nomination he will be favourite about 5/4 to get the gig .

Bertie @ 12/1 will be my next long term bet .

Looking at this Bet again .Maraid Mc Guinness is 8/11 Favourite HOW THE FUCK can she get to 50% not a chance .Lefties Sf /Labour Ranting and Raving Party cannot get there Its a Two horse race Between Berty or Cathrine Connolly if she can get a Nomonation .I think it will be a Four Horse Race .Mc Guinness ,Fg.Berty FF ,Who knows SF .with Cathrine Connolly or Fracis Black the X Alcoholic Cabaret Singer . If I was making a market based on these 4 .6/5 Berty 5/4 Connolly 7/2 Mc Guinness 5/1 Sf candidate .Berty still available @ 12/1 .

Where are you pulling all these mythical betting figures from ?

Here is the actual betting;
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/irish-politics/next-president

[John m]

Check out Bet 365 for the MYTHICAL FIGURES YOU CALLING ME A LIAR ..

[Belker]

Check out Bet 365 for the MYTHICAL FIGURES YOU CALLING ME A LIAR ..

NO, not calling you a liar, but 7 other firms offer her at 7/4 or better, which you kinda neglected to mention when quoting her as 8/11 Favourite !

[John m]

Did I suggest Backing Her The market is Distorted .Berty can be backed FF @ 10s Connolly could also be backed @10/1 .I have explained why I dont think FG or SF can win they wont transfer to each other so need to get 50% from only &0% of the actual vote Cant be done and if it can 2/1 is not the right price .I have a good bet on Berty From 20/1 down to !0/1 and backing Connolly to cover my Stake .

[Belker]

I would agree that Berty is odds-on IF he runs, but I don't think he will run.

What is in your favour John m is that he has not dismissed himself from the running, and the longer that goes on, the better fer your wager.